Saffo on Forecasting

Jim McGee at Corante’s Future Tense site posted this nice summary of a talk by Futurist Paul Saffo. I saw the post back in December, but have seen other references to it – a good quality indicator (see here, here and here).  A good article to read. The idea of looking back twice as far to appreciate the amount of change that will occur is interesting and related to the exponetial idea of change recently popularized by Ray Kurzweil and discussed more plainly in Joel Garreau’s Radical Evolution. An interesting mind exercise for Extension professionals:Think of the last 10 years of change and imagine the next five.

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